Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
34°C 30%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
30%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 30%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
30%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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