Recent forecast runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models show Moscow under southwesterly flow on August 24, with daytime highs near 19–21°C giving way to overnight clearing and a projected minimum of 12–13°C. This cooling follows warmer conditions on the 22nd–23rd and aligns with a broader late-August pattern of increasing variability as seasonal norms decline toward 14°C lows. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability on 9°C or below, likely incorporates model spread and potential for stronger northerly advection or radiational cooling under clearer skies, while the 27.5% on 19°C or higher captures upside risks from lingering warmth. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and European centers will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C or below
94%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
55%
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C or below
94%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models show Moscow under southwesterly flow on August 24, with daytime highs near 19–21°C giving way to overnight clearing and a projected minimum of 12–13°C. This cooling follows warmer conditions on the 22nd–23rd and aligns with a broader late-August pattern of increasing variability as seasonal norms decline toward 14°C lows. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability on 9°C or below, likely incorporates model spread and potential for stronger northerly advection or radiational cooling under clearer skies, while the 27.5% on 19°C or higher captures upside risks from lingering warmth. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and European centers will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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