Forecast models from sources including Yandex Weather and regional meteorological services indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 22 will likely settle between 11–13°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light southeasterly winds under 4 m/s, and elevated humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following recent frontal passages, suppress the potential for sharper drops below 10°C while keeping values above the seasonal baseline low near 12°C. Model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any light rain or fog, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. Traders' tight clustering around 12–13°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the market's weighting of official observational thresholds for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
7°C 74%
16°C or higher 59%
8°C 45%
14°C 44%
6°C or below
21%
7°C
74%
8°C
45%
9°C
40%
10°C
28%
11°C
42%
12°C
47%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
59%
7°C 74%
16°C or higher 59%
8°C 45%
14°C 44%
6°C or below
21%
7°C
74%
8°C
45%
9°C
40%
10°C
28%
11°C
42%
12°C
47%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including Yandex Weather and regional meteorological services indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 22 will likely settle between 11–13°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light southeasterly winds under 4 m/s, and elevated humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following recent frontal passages, suppress the potential for sharper drops below 10°C while keeping values above the seasonal baseline low near 12°C. Model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any light rain or fog, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. Traders' tight clustering around 12–13°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the market's weighting of official observational thresholds for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong