Recent meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models show substantial uncertainty in Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24, with typical late-summer variability driven by Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat retention, and shifting high-pressure ridges. Historical August lows average near 20°C, yet model spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies pushing readings to 18°C or below, or warmer advection and higher humidity keeping minima near or above 22–23°C. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects this divergence in short-range guidance, where small changes in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the daily minimum by several degrees before official station data finalize resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
18°C or below 84%
28°C or higher 84%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C or below
84%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
84%
18°C or below 84%
28°C or higher 84%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C or below
84%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models show substantial uncertainty in Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24, with typical late-summer variability driven by Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat retention, and shifting high-pressure ridges. Historical August lows average near 20°C, yet model spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies pushing readings to 18°C or below, or warmer advection and higher humidity keeping minima near or above 22–23°C. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects this divergence in short-range guidance, where small changes in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the daily minimum by several degrees before official station data finalize resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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