Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs through August 19-20 shows Munich's maximum temperature on August 22 stabilizing near 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection from warmer southern air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily highs reach 22-23°C amid declining solar angles and typical post-peak seasonal cooling. Ensemble spread and minor disagreements on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the balanced 50% market-implied odds across the 20-23°C bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to absent heatwave indicators or blocking highs. Updated guidance on August 21 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 22?
23°C 51%
22°C 41%
21°C 19%
20°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
41%
23°C
51%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 51%
22°C 41%
21°C 19%
20°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$0 Vol.
51%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs through August 19-20 shows Munich's maximum temperature on August 22 stabilizing near 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection from warmer southern air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily highs reach 22-23°C amid declining solar angles and typical post-peak seasonal cooling. Ensemble spread and minor disagreements on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the balanced 50% market-implied odds across the 20-23°C bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to absent heatwave indicators or blocking highs. Updated guidance on August 21 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs through August 19-20 shows Munich's maximum temperature on August 22 stabilizing near 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection from warmer southern air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily highs reach 22-23°C amid declining solar angles and typical post-peak seasonal cooling. Ensemble spread and minor disagreements on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the balanced 50% market-implied odds across the 20-23°C bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to absent heatwave indicators or blocking highs. Updated guidance on August 21 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs through August 19-20 shows Munich's maximum temperature on August 22 stabilizing near 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection from warmer southern air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily highs reach 22-23°C amid declining solar angles and typical post-peak seasonal cooling. Ensemble spread and minor disagreements on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the balanced 50% market-implied odds across the 20-23°C bins, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to absent heatwave indicators or blocking highs. Updated guidance on August 21 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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