Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and European ensembles points to a peak of 33–34°C on August 22 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions following earlier August heatwaves that pushed Madrid above 36°C. A cooling trend from 38°C mid-month highs, driven by shifting Atlantic flow and reduced subsidence, narrows the distribution while leaving room for 1–2°C model spread based on boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Traders weigh the tight 33–34°C split against climatological August baselines near 31–32°C and the narrow window before resolution, with fresh 48-hour forecast updates likely to refine exact maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
37%
34°C
45%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$90 Vol.
2%
32°C
$204 Vol.
8%
33°C
$187 Vol.
37%
34°C
$416 Vol.
45%
35°C
$242 Vol.
11%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C
$161 Vol.
1%
38°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and European ensembles points to a peak of 33–34°C on August 22 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions following earlier August heatwaves that pushed Madrid above 36°C. A cooling trend from 38°C mid-month highs, driven by shifting Atlantic flow and reduced subsidence, narrows the distribution while leaving room for 1–2°C model spread based on boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Traders weigh the tight 33–34°C split against climatological August baselines near 31–32°C and the narrow window before resolution, with fresh 48-hour forecast updates likely to refine exact maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,495Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and European ensembles points to a peak of 33–34°C on August 22 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions following earlier August heatwaves that pushed Madrid above 36°C. A cooling trend from 38°C mid-month highs, driven by shifting Atlantic flow and reduced subsidence, narrows the distribution while leaving room for 1–2°C model spread based on boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Traders weigh the tight 33–34°C split against climatological August baselines near 31–32°C and the narrow window before resolution, with fresh 48-hour forecast updates likely to refine exact maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,495Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and European ensembles points to a peak of 33–34°C on August 22 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions following earlier August heatwaves that pushed Madrid above 36°C. A cooling trend from 38°C mid-month highs, driven by shifting Atlantic flow and reduced subsidence, narrows the distribution while leaving room for 1–2°C model spread based on boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Traders weigh the tight 33–34°C split against climatological August baselines near 31–32°C and the narrow window before resolution, with fresh 48-hour forecast updates likely to refine exact maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong