Current forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services indicate afternoon highs near 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress extreme warming. This consensus positions 38°C at a low 3.5% implied probability, consistent with historical August baselines where such peaks occur infrequently amid average highs of 32–35°C. Recent observations through August 19–20 showing 33–34°C ranges reinforce trader sentiment, with no major heatwave signals in model runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift odds if drier, clearer patterns emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
35°C 46%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
11%
34°C
26%
35°C
50%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2 Vol.
7%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$67 Vol.
50%
36°C
$11 Vol.
21%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C
$0 Vol.
6%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services indicate afternoon highs near 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress extreme warming. This consensus positions 38°C at a low 3.5% implied probability, consistent with historical August baselines where such peaks occur infrequently amid average highs of 32–35°C. Recent observations through August 19–20 showing 33–34°C ranges reinforce trader sentiment, with no major heatwave signals in model runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift odds if drier, clearer patterns emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$80Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services indicate afternoon highs near 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress extreme warming. This consensus positions 38°C at a low 3.5% implied probability, consistent with historical August baselines where such peaks occur infrequently amid average highs of 32–35°C. Recent observations through August 19–20 showing 33–34°C ranges reinforce trader sentiment, with no major heatwave signals in model runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift odds if drier, clearer patterns emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services indicate afternoon highs near 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress extreme warming. This consensus positions 38°C at a low 3.5% implied probability, consistent with historical August baselines where such peaks occur infrequently amid average highs of 32–35°C. Recent observations through August 19–20 showing 33–34°C ranges reinforce trader sentiment, with no major heatwave signals in model runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift odds if drier, clearer patterns emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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