Recent short-term forecast guidance from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers or brief rain on August 22, which would moderate peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent regional high pressure has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, producing multiple days exceeding 35°C, yet increasing convective activity and higher boundary-layer moisture favor maximums clustering near the 30–31°C threshold. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of cloud cover and any sea-breeze or frontal influences, creating the tight market spread between those two leading outcomes while rendering 32°C or higher less probable under current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast guidance from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers or brief rain on August 22, which would moderate peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent regional high pressure has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, producing multiple days exceeding 35°C, yet increasing convective activity and higher boundary-layer moisture favor maximums clustering near the 30–31°C threshold. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of cloud cover and any sea-breeze or frontal influences, creating the tight market spread between those two leading outcomes while rendering 32°C or higher less probable under current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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