Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
23°C 44%
22°C 36%
24°C 17%
21°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
36%
23°C
44%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
22°C 36%
24°C 17%
21°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$243 Vol.
3%
21°C
$242 Vol.
5%
22°C
$189 Vol.
36%
23°C
$179 Vol.
44%
24°C
$644 Vol.
17%
25°C
$240 Vol.
2%
26°C
$173 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a high-pressure dominated pattern over central Poland through August 26, supporting daytime maxima near 22–23 °C in Warsaw under mostly sunny skies and light easterly flow. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes, as modest differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage can easily swing the daily peak by 1 °C. Seasonal climatology places late-August Warsaw highs near 23 °C, so the implied probabilities largely reflect traders pricing normal variability rather than anomalous heat or cooling. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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