Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely fall between 15–16°C, driven by easterly winds advecting drier continental air under partly cloudy skies that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the current warm anomaly, as August 2026 has run about 1.5°C above the 18°C monthly normal through mid-month. Historical late-August lows average near 13°C at Schiphol, with recent overnight readings dipping to 9–12°C before the pattern shifted. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of high-resolution guidance and limited model spread against the possibility of clearer skies or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 14°C. Official KNMI observations will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
16°C 42%
15°C 30%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
1%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
42%
17°C
13%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 42%
15°C 30%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
1%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
42%
17°C
13%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely fall between 15–16°C, driven by easterly winds advecting drier continental air under partly cloudy skies that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the current warm anomaly, as August 2026 has run about 1.5°C above the 18°C monthly normal through mid-month. Historical late-August lows average near 13°C at Schiphol, with recent overnight readings dipping to 9–12°C before the pattern shifted. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of high-resolution guidance and limited model spread against the possibility of clearer skies or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 14°C. Official KNMI observations will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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