Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) seasonal outlooks and short-range model guidance from MetService and the Met Office indicate near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for Wellington in late August, with daytime maxima forecast near 15°C on the 25th under northwesterly flow and high pressure. This aligns with historical August averages of 12–14°C but reflects current steering patterns that limit southerly outbreaks. Model consensus supports a daily high around 14–16°C, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty from variable wind strength and cloud cover. Trader consensus at 55.5% for 16°C and 18% for 15°C incorporates this forecast reliability alongside typical winter variability, with resolution based on official maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 56%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 5%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
56%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
15°C 18%
17°C 16%
18°C 5%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
56%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) seasonal outlooks and short-range model guidance from MetService and the Met Office indicate near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for Wellington in late August, with daytime maxima forecast near 15°C on the 25th under northwesterly flow and high pressure. This aligns with historical August averages of 12–14°C but reflects current steering patterns that limit southerly outbreaks. Model consensus supports a daily high around 14–16°C, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty from variable wind strength and cloud cover. Trader consensus at 55.5% for 16°C and 18% for 15°C incorporates this forecast reliability alongside typical winter variability, with resolution based on official maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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