Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a highest temperature near 79–81°F in Central Park on August 24, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, limit strong warming while suppressing widespread cloud cover that could otherwise cap readings. Historical August averages near 83°F provide context, but recent cooler-than-normal trends and guidance showing minimal instability have shifted trader sentiment toward the lower end of the seasonal range, with 78–79°F holding secondary support at 25%. Updated short-range forecasts expected tomorrow morning will offer the next key data point for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
BAGO
$16,554 Vol.
BAGO
$16,554 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
BAGO
$16,554 Vol.
BAGO
$16,554 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$930 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,359 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$2,051 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$4,946 Vol.
56%
82-83°F
$2,400 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,368 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$1,933 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a highest temperature near 79–81°F in Central Park on August 24, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, limit strong warming while suppressing widespread cloud cover that could otherwise cap readings. Historical August averages near 83°F provide context, but recent cooler-than-normal trends and guidance showing minimal instability have shifted trader sentiment toward the lower end of the seasonal range, with 78–79°F holding secondary support at 25%. Updated short-range forecasts expected tomorrow morning will offer the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,554Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a highest temperature near 79–81°F in Central Park on August 24, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, limit strong warming while suppressing widespread cloud cover that could otherwise cap readings. Historical August averages near 83°F provide context, but recent cooler-than-normal trends and guidance showing minimal instability have shifted trader sentiment toward the lower end of the seasonal range, with 78–79°F holding secondary support at 25%. Updated short-range forecasts expected tomorrow morning will offer the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,554Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to a highest temperature near 79–81°F in Central Park on August 24, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, limit strong warming while suppressing widespread cloud cover that could otherwise cap readings. Historical August averages near 83°F provide context, but recent cooler-than-normal trends and guidance showing minimal instability have shifted trader sentiment toward the lower end of the seasonal range, with 78–79°F holding secondary support at 25%. Updated short-range forecasts expected tomorrow morning will offer the next key data point for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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