Near-term ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–13°C for Amsterdam’s August 25 minimum, with traders weighing moderate easterly flow and mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. North Sea surface temperatures near 18–20°C limit further drops, while typical late-August subsidence and light winds produce lows clustering between 11–15°C. Recent model runs show minor spread from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, sustaining uncertainty reflected in the 42–43% probabilities on 12°C and 13°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
19°C or higher 65%
13°C 44%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
34%
10°C
8%
11°C
36%
12°C
43%
13°C
44%
14°C
27%
15°C
33%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
65%
19°C or higher 65%
13°C 44%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$55 Vol.
34%
10°C
$5 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
43%
13°C
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$10 Vol.
9%
18°C
$610 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$145 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–13°C for Amsterdam’s August 25 minimum, with traders weighing moderate easterly flow and mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. North Sea surface temperatures near 18–20°C limit further drops, while typical late-August subsidence and light winds produce lows clustering between 11–15°C. Recent model runs show minor spread from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, sustaining uncertainty reflected in the 42–43% probabilities on 12°C and 13°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$825Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–13°C for Amsterdam’s August 25 minimum, with traders weighing moderate easterly flow and mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. North Sea surface temperatures near 18–20°C limit further drops, while typical late-August subsidence and light winds produce lows clustering between 11–15°C. Recent model runs show minor spread from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, sustaining uncertainty reflected in the 42–43% probabilities on 12°C and 13°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$825Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Near-term ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–13°C for Amsterdam’s August 25 minimum, with traders weighing moderate easterly flow and mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. North Sea surface temperatures near 18–20°C limit further drops, while typical late-August subsidence and light winds produce lows clustering between 11–15°C. Recent model runs show minor spread from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, sustaining uncertainty reflected in the 42–43% probabilities on 12°C and 13°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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