Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a high of 22–23°C in London on August 25 under an easterly flow advecting cooler, more stable air from the North Sea and continent, with extensive low-to-mid cloud limiting surface heating. This follows a sharp cooling from mid-August peaks above 35°C, driven by a shift from high-pressure dominance to increased moisture and moderate northeasterly winds. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these temperatures because model consensus shows modest diurnal ranges and only limited afternoon clearing, while slight disagreements on cloud timing keep 24°C as a lower-probability upside. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 25?
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
21°C 13%
$11,762 Vol.
$11,762 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
21°C 13%
$11,762 Vol.
$11,762 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a high of 22–23°C in London on August 25 under an easterly flow advecting cooler, more stable air from the North Sea and continent, with extensive low-to-mid cloud limiting surface heating. This follows a sharp cooling from mid-August peaks above 35°C, driven by a shift from high-pressure dominance to increased moisture and moderate northeasterly winds. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these temperatures because model consensus shows modest diurnal ranges and only limited afternoon clearing, while slight disagreements on cloud timing keep 24°C as a lower-probability upside. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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