**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, northeasterly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating.** Recent days have seen highs of 30–32°C under similar conditions, with a modest cooling trend expected as the ridge weakens slightly. However, the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (47%) and 28°C (38%) reflects trader emphasis on remaining forecast uncertainty—small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any boundary-layer mixing can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise measurement station and verification methodology used by Turkish meteorological authorities, where even modest model spread (common this far out) keeps lower outcomes viable in the implied probabilities. Updated runs from NOAA, ECMWF, and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely be the key catalyst for any sharp market movement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
27°C 47%
28°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
47%
28°C
38%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$180 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$79 Vol.
4%
26°C
$147 Vol.
6%
27°C
$600 Vol.
47%
28°C
$234 Vol.
38%
29°C
$82 Vol.
7%
30°C
$85 Vol.
2%
31°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, northeasterly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating.**
Recent days have seen highs of 30–32°C under similar conditions, with a modest cooling trend expected as the ridge weakens slightly. However, the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (47%) and 28°C (38%) reflects trader emphasis on remaining forecast uncertainty—small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any boundary-layer mixing can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise measurement station and verification methodology used by Turkish meteorological authorities, where even modest model spread (common this far out) keeps lower outcomes viable in the implied probabilities. Updated runs from NOAA, ECMWF, and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely be the key catalyst for any sharp market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,797Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, northeasterly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating.**
Recent days have seen highs of 30–32°C under similar conditions, with a modest cooling trend expected as the ridge weakens slightly. However, the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (47%) and 28°C (38%) reflects trader emphasis on remaining forecast uncertainty—small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any boundary-layer mixing can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise measurement station and verification methodology used by Turkish meteorological authorities, where even modest model spread (common this far out) keeps lower outcomes viable in the implied probabilities. Updated runs from NOAA, ECMWF, and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely be the key catalyst for any sharp market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,797Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, northeasterly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating.** Recent days have seen highs of 30–32°C under similar conditions, with a modest cooling trend expected as the ridge weakens slightly. However, the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (47%) and 28°C (38%) reflects trader emphasis on remaining forecast uncertainty—small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any boundary-layer mixing can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise measurement station and verification methodology used by Turkish meteorological authorities, where even modest model spread (common this far out) keeps lower outcomes viable in the implied probabilities. Updated runs from NOAA, ECMWF, and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely be the key catalyst for any sharp market movement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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