Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a high around 37–38°C on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon showers, supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong August solar insolation, combined with urban heat island effects and light winds, favor peak temperatures near the upper end of the recent 36–39°C range observed locally. Brief convective activity could shave a degree or two in some districts, while clearer conditions or delayed rainfall would allow readings to reach 39°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical late-August climatology, with the 1–2°C spread reflecting typical forecast uncertainty at this short lead time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
38°C 30%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
40°C 11.5%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
11%
37°C
27%
38°C
30%
39°C
20%
40°C
12%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 30%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
40°C 11.5%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
11%
37°C
27%
38°C
30%
39°C
20%
40°C
12%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a high around 37–38°C on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon showers, supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong August solar insolation, combined with urban heat island effects and light winds, favor peak temperatures near the upper end of the recent 36–39°C range observed locally. Brief convective activity could shave a degree or two in some districts, while clearer conditions or delayed rainfall would allow readings to reach 39°C. Traders are weighting the consensus model guidance and historical late-August climatology, with the 1–2°C spread reflecting typical forecast uncertainty at this short lead time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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