Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and AccuWeather point to a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with light winds allowing moderate nighttime radiative cooling over the Bosphorus region. Sea surface temperatures around 25°C and urban heat island effects limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or humidity could raise the overnight low toward 22–23°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C and 25°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer conditions and steering patterns through the next 48 hours; historical August minima average 18–22°C, underscoring why extremes below 18°C or above 26°C carry very low probabilities. Updated model runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
20°C 45%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
9%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
86%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
20°C 45%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$70 Vol.
9%
18°C
$15 Vol.
50%
19°C
$15 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$120 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and AccuWeather point to a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with light winds allowing moderate nighttime radiative cooling over the Bosphorus region. Sea surface temperatures around 25°C and urban heat island effects limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or humidity could raise the overnight low toward 22–23°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C and 25°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer conditions and steering patterns through the next 48 hours; historical August minima average 18–22°C, underscoring why extremes below 18°C or above 26°C carry very low probabilities. Updated model runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$355Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and AccuWeather point to a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with light winds allowing moderate nighttime radiative cooling over the Bosphorus region. Sea surface temperatures around 25°C and urban heat island effects limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or humidity could raise the overnight low toward 22–23°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C and 25°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer conditions and steering patterns through the next 48 hours; historical August minima average 18–22°C, underscoring why extremes below 18°C or above 26°C carry very low probabilities. Updated model runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$355Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and AccuWeather point to a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with light winds allowing moderate nighttime radiative cooling over the Bosphorus region. Sea surface temperatures around 25°C and urban heat island effects limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or humidity could raise the overnight low toward 22–23°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C and 25°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer conditions and steering patterns through the next 48 hours; historical August minima average 18–22°C, underscoring why extremes below 18°C or above 26°C carry very low probabilities. Updated model runs from official agencies will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong