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Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?

icon for Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?

Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

29°C 33%

28°C 30%

30°C 28%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
BAGO

29°C 33%

28°C 30%

30°C 28%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
BAGO

22°C or below

$0 Vol.

4%

23°C

$0 Vol.

4%

24°C

$5 Vol.

4%

25°C

$5 Vol.

2%

26°C

$5 Vol.

3%

27°C

$0 Vol.

9%

28°C

$71 Vol.

19%

29°C

$0 Vol.

33%

30°C

$0 Vol.

28%

31°C

$11 Vol.

12%

32°C or higher

$5 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C. Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$102
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts for Milan on August 26, 2026, cluster tightly around 29–31 °C under high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow and only low (under 20 %) chances of showers.** Multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional outputs, indicate daytime maxima near 30 °C (roughly 86–87 °F), with partly cloudy skies allowing strong but not uninterrupted solar heating. This produces the tight market split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts (32 % and 30 % implied probability), as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift the peak by 1 °C. Recent days have featured similar stable, above-average late-summer warmth without extreme heat advection, keeping ensemble spreads narrow. Resolution hinges on official station readings (typically the highest hourly or daily maximum at Milan’s reference site), so traders weigh the latest model consensus against urban heat-island effects and any last-minute changes in insolation or advection. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds between the top two outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around that narrow temperature band rather than broader meteorological shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$102
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "29°C" sa 33%, sinusundan ng "30°C" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 33¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 24, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?" ay "29°C" sa 33%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "30°C" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.