Singapore's equatorial climate produces consistently high temperatures, with late-August daily maxima typically averaging near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon. Current Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of the month project highs of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally reaching 35°C, supported by El Niño-driven warmer and drier regional conditions that have already produced mid-August peaks above 34°C. These patterns explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, with 32°C leading. Short-term forecast updates from official models, including any shifts in afternoon convection or humidity, remain the key variables that could adjust trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
32°C 49%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
49%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
49%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate produces consistently high temperatures, with late-August daily maxima typically averaging near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon. Current Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of the month project highs of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally reaching 35°C, supported by El Niño-driven warmer and drier regional conditions that have already produced mid-August peaks above 34°C. These patterns explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, with 32°C leading. Short-term forecast updates from official models, including any shifts in afternoon convection or humidity, remain the key variables that could adjust trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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