Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts position 98-99°F as the modal outcome for Houston's August 25 high because a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while delivering dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows only modest spread around upper 90s to low 100s, with limited cooling from Gulf moisture or weak sea-breeze effects keeping probabilities for 96-97°F close behind. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 94°F, so the slight upward bias in trader-implied odds reflects recent warm anomalies and minimal frontal passage risk before the 25th. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution criteria for this 24-hour temperature window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$679 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$334 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$1,035 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$899 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$325 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$251 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$281 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts position 98-99°F as the modal outcome for Houston's August 25 high because a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while delivering dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows only modest spread around upper 90s to low 100s, with limited cooling from Gulf moisture or weak sea-breeze effects keeping probabilities for 96-97°F close behind. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 94°F, so the slight upward bias in trader-implied odds reflects recent warm anomalies and minimal frontal passage risk before the 25th. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution criteria for this 24-hour temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,907Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts position 98-99°F as the modal outcome for Houston's August 25 high because a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while delivering dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows only modest spread around upper 90s to low 100s, with limited cooling from Gulf moisture or weak sea-breeze effects keeping probabilities for 96-97°F close behind. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 94°F, so the slight upward bias in trader-implied odds reflects recent warm anomalies and minimal frontal passage risk before the 25th. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution criteria for this 24-hour temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,907Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts position 98-99°F as the modal outcome for Houston's August 25 high because a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while delivering dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows only modest spread around upper 90s to low 100s, with limited cooling from Gulf moisture or weak sea-breeze effects keeping probabilities for 96-97°F close behind. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 94°F, so the slight upward bias in trader-implied odds reflects recent warm anomalies and minimal frontal passage risk before the 25th. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution criteria for this 24-hour temperature window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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