**Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources points to an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 63%, 28°C at 29%).** Persistent southeasterly flow advects warm, moist maritime air from the East China Sea under a subtropical monsoon regime, while widespread light rain and cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C and relative humidity above 85% further limit temperature drops, keeping the minimum in the narrow 27–28°C range typical of late-August conditions when the seasonal average low is around 25°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on this timing and intensity, with no incoming cold front or clear-sky window expected to alter the outcome. Traders are pricing the high probability of these values because recent observations and short-range guidance have remained stable, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” assessment of limited downside risk to 26°C or below.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 70%
28°C 11%
25°C 4%
26°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
70%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 70%
28°C 11%
25°C 4%
26°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$136 Vol.
4%
26°C
$208 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,042 Vol.
70%
28°C
$698 Vol.
11%
29°C
$146 Vol.
3%
30°C
$23 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources points to an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 63%, 28°C at 29%).**
Persistent southeasterly flow advects warm, moist maritime air from the East China Sea under a subtropical monsoon regime, while widespread light rain and cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C and relative humidity above 85% further limit temperature drops, keeping the minimum in the narrow 27–28°C range typical of late-August conditions when the seasonal average low is around 25°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on this timing and intensity, with no incoming cold front or clear-sky window expected to alter the outcome. Traders are pricing the high probability of these values because recent observations and short-range guidance have remained stable, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” assessment of limited downside risk to 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,504Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources points to an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 63%, 28°C at 29%).**
Persistent southeasterly flow advects warm, moist maritime air from the East China Sea under a subtropical monsoon regime, while widespread light rain and cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C and relative humidity above 85% further limit temperature drops, keeping the minimum in the narrow 27–28°C range typical of late-August conditions when the seasonal average low is around 25°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on this timing and intensity, with no incoming cold front or clear-sky window expected to alter the outcome. Traders are pricing the high probability of these values because recent observations and short-range guidance have remained stable, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” assessment of limited downside risk to 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,504Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official and meteorological sources points to an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 63%, 28°C at 29%).** Persistent southeasterly flow advects warm, moist maritime air from the East China Sea under a subtropical monsoon regime, while widespread light rain and cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C and relative humidity above 85% further limit temperature drops, keeping the minimum in the narrow 27–28°C range typical of late-August conditions when the seasonal average low is around 25°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on this timing and intensity, with no incoming cold front or clear-sky window expected to alter the outcome. Traders are pricing the high probability of these values because recent observations and short-range guidance have remained stable, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” assessment of limited downside risk to 26°C or below.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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