Recent official forecasts and ensemble model guidance from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this late-summer monsoon-influenced regime. Multiple sources, including numerical weather predictions, consistently indicate overnight lows stabilizing around 27°C amid scattered showers and warm advection. This underpins the market's strong 91% implied probability for 27°C as the daily minimum. Clearer skies or an unanticipated northerly shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions and short-range model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 93%
25°C 6%
26°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
25°C 6%
26°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model guidance from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this late-summer monsoon-influenced regime. Multiple sources, including numerical weather predictions, consistently indicate overnight lows stabilizing around 27°C amid scattered showers and warm advection. This underpins the market's strong 91% implied probability for 27°C as the daily minimum. Clearer skies or an unanticipated northerly shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions and short-range model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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