Official forecasts for Shanghai on August 31 project an overnight low near 27°C, supported by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local services converge on nighttime minima of 26–27°C, consistent with observed lows of 26–28°C in prior days amid scattered showers. This range accounts for the market’s strong 55.5% implied probability on 27°C and 29.5% on 28°C, while lower outcomes like 26°C reflect residual uncertainty from potential clearer skies or timing of any frontal influence. Traders weigh these near-term forecast updates heavily as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
27°C 53%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
53%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
53%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Shanghai on August 31 project an overnight low near 27°C, supported by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local services converge on nighttime minima of 26–27°C, consistent with observed lows of 26–28°C in prior days amid scattered showers. This range accounts for the market’s strong 55.5% implied probability on 27°C and 29.5% on 28°C, while lower outcomes like 26°C reflect residual uncertainty from potential clearer skies or timing of any frontal influence. Traders weigh these near-term forecast updates heavily as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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