Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on September 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 4?
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 40%
82-83°F 8%
84-85°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
6%
98°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 40%
82-83°F 8%
84-85°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$67 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$115 Vol.
40%
90-91°F
$107 Vol.
42%
92-93°F
$31 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$320Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$320Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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