Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Paris reaching a daytime high near 25°C on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 53% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions producing dry, mild early-September weather slightly above the 23.5°C historical average high, with limited model spread keeping 24°C and 26°C as secondary possibilities at 25.5% and 16%. Official monitoring indicates minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds rather than extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on September 2?
25°C 53%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
$17,775 Vol.
$17,775 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
53%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
$17,775 Vol.
$17,775 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
53%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Paris reaching a daytime high near 25°C on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 53% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions producing dry, mild early-September weather slightly above the 23.5°C historical average high, with limited model spread keeping 24°C and 26°C as secondary possibilities at 25.5% and 16%. Official monitoring indicates minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds rather than extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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