Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 96-97°F high in Austin on September 3, driven by National Weather Service ensemble guidance showing a strengthening subtropical ridge with weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient diurnal heating over central Texas, where early-September climatology already places average maxima near 94°F. The tight clustering between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and low-level moisture advection, factors that can alter peak readings by 1–2°F. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models will clarify whether any weak frontal moisture or increased mixing suppresses or enhances the maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 3?
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
4%
104°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
85°F or below
$64 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$253 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$209 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$424 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$524 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$144 Vol.
35%
98-99°F
$668 Vol.
23%
100-101°F
$107 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$33 Vol.
4%
104°F or higher
$59 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 96-97°F high in Austin on September 3, driven by National Weather Service ensemble guidance showing a strengthening subtropical ridge with weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient diurnal heating over central Texas, where early-September climatology already places average maxima near 94°F. The tight clustering between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and low-level moisture advection, factors that can alter peak readings by 1–2°F. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models will clarify whether any weak frontal moisture or increased mixing suppresses or enhances the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,736Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 96-97°F high in Austin on September 3, driven by National Weather Service ensemble guidance showing a strengthening subtropical ridge with weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient diurnal heating over central Texas, where early-September climatology already places average maxima near 94°F. The tight clustering between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and low-level moisture advection, factors that can alter peak readings by 1–2°F. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models will clarify whether any weak frontal moisture or increased mixing suppresses or enhances the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,736Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 96-97°F high in Austin on September 3, driven by National Weather Service ensemble guidance showing a strengthening subtropical ridge with weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient diurnal heating over central Texas, where early-September climatology already places average maxima near 94°F. The tight clustering between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and low-level moisture advection, factors that can alter peak readings by 1–2°F. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models will clarify whether any weak frontal moisture or increased mixing suppresses or enhances the maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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