Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions feature high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong insolation driving daytime maxima near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~30–31°C. Stable synoptic patterns with no incoming troughs or moisture have kept model consensus tight, limiting upside risk for 34°C or higher while supporting the narrow 32–33°C range. Updated runs through August 30 show little day-to-day shift, reinforcing trader focus on these outcomes ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
33°C 57%
32°C 40%
34°C 4%
31°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
40%
33°C
57%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 40%
34°C 4%
31°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
40%
33°C
57%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions feature high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong insolation driving daytime maxima near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~30–31°C. Stable synoptic patterns with no incoming troughs or moisture have kept model consensus tight, limiting upside risk for 34°C or higher while supporting the narrow 32–33°C range. Updated runs through August 30 show little day-to-day shift, reinforcing trader focus on these outcomes ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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