Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate partly sunny conditions with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the 80–83°F range for LaGuardia’s official high. These factors limit peak insolation and allow modest sea-breeze or convective cooling, keeping implied odds tightly split between the 80–81°F (36.5%) and 82–83°F (30.5%) bins while capping higher outcomes. Historical August verification at the station and low precipitation totals reinforce the narrow spread, with final model runs and any last-minute moisture trends the key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
84-85°F 9%
$15,095 Vol.
$15,095 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
84-85°F 9%
$15,095 Vol.
$15,095 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate partly sunny conditions with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the 80–83°F range for LaGuardia’s official high. These factors limit peak insolation and allow modest sea-breeze or convective cooling, keeping implied odds tightly split between the 80–81°F (36.5%) and 82–83°F (30.5%) bins while capping higher outcomes. Historical August verification at the station and low precipitation totals reinforce the narrow spread, with final model runs and any last-minute moisture trends the key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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