Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a San Francisco minimum near 57°F on September 1, consistent with the leading 58-59°F bin at 34% market-implied odds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate southwest onshore flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Typical early-September climatology shows daily lows averaging 56°F, with reduced evaporative cooling from unusually dry late-August air masses. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact cloud cover, or marine-layer depth could shift the outcome by a degree or two across the tightly grouped 56-63°F outcomes, while stronger cooling or warmer advection remains low-probability given the stable pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
68°F or higher 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
21%
68°F or higher
49%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
68°F or higher 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
15%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
26%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
21%
68°F or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a San Francisco minimum near 57°F on September 1, consistent with the leading 58-59°F bin at 34% market-implied odds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate southwest onshore flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Typical early-September climatology shows daily lows averaging 56°F, with reduced evaporative cooling from unusually dry late-August air masses. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact cloud cover, or marine-layer depth could shift the outcome by a degree or two across the tightly grouped 56-63°F outcomes, while stronger cooling or warmer advection remains low-probability given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$10Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a San Francisco minimum near 57°F on September 1, consistent with the leading 58-59°F bin at 34% market-implied odds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate southwest onshore flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Typical early-September climatology shows daily lows averaging 56°F, with reduced evaporative cooling from unusually dry late-August air masses. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact cloud cover, or marine-layer depth could shift the outcome by a degree or two across the tightly grouped 56-63°F outcomes, while stronger cooling or warmer advection remains low-probability given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a San Francisco minimum near 57°F on September 1, consistent with the leading 58-59°F bin at 34% market-implied odds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate southwest onshore flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Typical early-September climatology shows daily lows averaging 56°F, with reduced evaporative cooling from unusually dry late-August air masses. Minor variations in wind mixing, exact cloud cover, or marine-layer depth could shift the outcome by a degree or two across the tightly grouped 56-63°F outcomes, while stronger cooling or warmer advection remains low-probability given the stable pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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