Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters produces radiational cooling overnight, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity that moderate temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for September 1 forecasts a minimum of 12–14 °C under variable winds and possible thunderstorms, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs. Subtle differences among 10–14 °C outcomes hinge on exact overnight cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture; clearer breaks could permit additional cooling toward the lower end of the range, whereas persistent overcast or rain would favor the milder side. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around these values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 1?
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
22%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
22%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters produces radiational cooling overnight, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity that moderate temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for September 1 forecasts a minimum of 12–14 °C under variable winds and possible thunderstorms, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from recent runs. Subtle differences among 10–14 °C outcomes hinge on exact overnight cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture; clearer breaks could permit additional cooling toward the lower end of the range, whereas persistent overcast or rain would favor the milder side. Historical September lows average near 12 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around these values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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