Forecasts for Mexico City on September 3, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature likely between 12–14 °C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation promoting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds during the rainy season. Official guidance from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model runs show expected lows near 13 °C, with variability from scattered showers that can trap heat or allow clearer periods for greater drops. Historical September averages place typical overnight minima around 10–13 °C, while current conditions feature moderate humidity and no strong cold-air advection. This genuine uncertainty in exact cooling rates—sensitive to cloud cover timing and precipitation—explains the tight market-implied odds between warmer outcomes above 18 °C and colder ones at or below 8 °C, with mid-range values like 11–15 °C reflecting trader consensus on probable ranges ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
18°C or higher 85%
8°C or below 79%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
8°C or below
79%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
50%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
85%
18°C or higher 85%
8°C or below 79%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
8°C or below
79%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
50%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Mexico City on September 3, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature likely between 12–14 °C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation promoting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds during the rainy season. Official guidance from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model runs show expected lows near 13 °C, with variability from scattered showers that can trap heat or allow clearer periods for greater drops. Historical September averages place typical overnight minima around 10–13 °C, while current conditions feature moderate humidity and no strong cold-air advection. This genuine uncertainty in exact cooling rates—sensitive to cloud cover timing and precipitation—explains the tight market-implied odds between warmer outcomes above 18 °C and colder ones at or below 8 °C, with mid-range values like 11–15 °C reflecting trader consensus on probable ranges ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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