The influence of Tropical Cyclone Sadul tracking across the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the main factor capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on September 2. Official HKO guidance projects a range of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief afternoon sunshine, while ensemble models show highs clustering near 28–30°C depending on shower timing and cloud breaks. This spread, amid moderate rain chances and northwest winds of 4–5, explains the tight market clustering around 28–30°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cyclone position or local convection over the next 24 hours could refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The influence of Tropical Cyclone Sadul tracking across the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the main factor capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on September 2. Official HKO guidance projects a range of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief afternoon sunshine, while ensemble models show highs clustering near 28–30°C depending on shower timing and cloud breaks. This spread, amid moderate rain chances and northwest winds of 4–5, explains the tight market clustering around 28–30°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cyclone position or local convection over the next 24 hours could refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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