Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 25°C outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwest winds limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average for early September rather than allowing dips toward 24°C. Forecasters from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models had anticipated this range given the prevailing humid, overcast pattern. A stronger cold surge or prolonged clear skies could have enabled greater heat loss and a lower minimum, but observed conditions and real-time data ruled out such shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,475 Vol.
$21,475 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,475 Vol.
$21,475 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 25°C outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwest winds limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average for early September rather than allowing dips toward 24°C. Forecasters from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models had anticipated this range given the prevailing humid, overcast pattern. A stronger cold surge or prolonged clear skies could have enabled greater heat loss and a lower minimum, but observed conditions and real-time data ruled out such shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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