Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 3 moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s across the Chicago area, with southwest flow and elevated humidity limiting full daytime heating while lake breezes further cap readings near the shoreline. This aligns with the market-implied clustering around 88–91 °F as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the preceding heat wave. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convection, which could suppress highs below 88 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 92 °F, alongside model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Historical September 3 averages near 80 °F underscore the above-normal but not extreme outlook ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on September 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 3?
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
79°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$255 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$9 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$305 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$75 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$8 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$15 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 3 moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s across the Chicago area, with southwest flow and elevated humidity limiting full daytime heating while lake breezes further cap readings near the shoreline. This aligns with the market-implied clustering around 88–91 °F as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the preceding heat wave. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convection, which could suppress highs below 88 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 92 °F, alongside model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Historical September 3 averages near 80 °F underscore the above-normal but not extreme outlook ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$748Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 3 moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s across the Chicago area, with southwest flow and elevated humidity limiting full daytime heating while lake breezes further cap readings near the shoreline. This aligns with the market-implied clustering around 88–91 °F as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the preceding heat wave. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convection, which could suppress highs below 88 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 92 °F, alongside model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Historical September 3 averages near 80 °F underscore the above-normal but not extreme outlook ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$748Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 3 moderating peak temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s across the Chicago area, with southwest flow and elevated humidity limiting full daytime heating while lake breezes further cap readings near the shoreline. This aligns with the market-implied clustering around 88–91 °F as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the preceding heat wave. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convection, which could suppress highs below 88 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 92 °F, alongside model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Historical September 3 averages near 80 °F underscore the above-normal but not extreme outlook ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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