Recent numerical weather model consensus and observational trends point to a stable high-pressure regime over the Sichuan Basin supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Chengdu on September 2. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime insolation, while moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Historical early-September climatology places the basin average near 30–31°C, with recent late-August observations of 32–35°C highs reflecting a gradual seasonal decline offset by subsidence warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in cloud-cover timing or moisture advection create the tight market clustering around 33–35°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases for further refinement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
32%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$391 Vol.
1%
29°C
$192 Vol.
1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
2%
31°C
$196 Vol.
4%
32°C
$832 Vol.
12%
33°C
$206 Vol.
27%
34°C
$254 Vol.
32%
35°C
$601 Vol.
24%
36°C
$247 Vol.
3%
37°C
$404 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$935 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and observational trends point to a stable high-pressure regime over the Sichuan Basin supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Chengdu on September 2. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime insolation, while moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Historical early-September climatology places the basin average near 30–31°C, with recent late-August observations of 32–35°C highs reflecting a gradual seasonal decline offset by subsidence warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in cloud-cover timing or moisture advection create the tight market clustering around 33–35°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases for further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,567Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and observational trends point to a stable high-pressure regime over the Sichuan Basin supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Chengdu on September 2. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime insolation, while moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Historical early-September climatology places the basin average near 30–31°C, with recent late-August observations of 32–35°C highs reflecting a gradual seasonal decline offset by subsidence warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in cloud-cover timing or moisture advection create the tight market clustering around 33–35°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases for further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,567Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus and observational trends point to a stable high-pressure regime over the Sichuan Basin supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Chengdu on September 2. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime insolation, while moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Historical early-September climatology places the basin average near 30–31°C, with recent late-August observations of 32–35°C highs reflecting a gradual seasonal decline offset by subsidence warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in cloud-cover timing or moisture advection create the tight market clustering around 33–35°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases for further refinement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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