**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, consistent with early-spring climatology, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 7–17°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low.** North-northeasterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures, while variable cloud cover and potential light showers overnight can alter the rate of radiative cooling; clearer periods promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima, whereas increased humidity or lingering cloud reduces that cooling. Model spreads arise from differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact frontal timing, and resolution of local urban effects around official stations. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, so the current 50.5% on 7°C or below versus elevated odds on 9–14°C bins capture the realistic envelope of possible station readings rather than a strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
17°C or higher 84%
10°C 78%
13°C 78%
14°C 78%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
51%
8°C
40%
9°C
44%
10°C
78%
11°C
77%
12°C
64%
13°C
78%
14°C
78%
15°C
70%
16°C
74%
17°C or higher
84%
17°C or higher 84%
10°C 78%
13°C 78%
14°C 78%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
51%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
44%
10°C
$0 Vol.
78%
11°C
$0 Vol.
77%
12°C
$107 Vol.
64%
13°C
$5 Vol.
78%
14°C
$5 Vol.
78%
15°C
$5 Vol.
70%
16°C
$5 Vol.
74%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, consistent with early-spring climatology, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 7–17°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low.**
North-northeasterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures, while variable cloud cover and potential light showers overnight can alter the rate of radiative cooling; clearer periods promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima, whereas increased humidity or lingering cloud reduces that cooling. Model spreads arise from differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact frontal timing, and resolution of local urban effects around official stations. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, so the current 50.5% on 7°C or below versus elevated odds on 9–14°C bins capture the realistic envelope of possible station readings rather than a strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, consistent with early-spring climatology, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 7–17°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low.**
North-northeasterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures, while variable cloud cover and potential light showers overnight can alter the rate of radiative cooling; clearer periods promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima, whereas increased humidity or lingering cloud reduces that cooling. Model spreads arise from differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact frontal timing, and resolution of local urban effects around official stations. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, so the current 50.5% on 7°C or below versus elevated odds on 9–14°C bins capture the realistic envelope of possible station readings rather than a strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 11°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, consistent with early-spring climatology, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 7–17°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low.** North-northeasterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures, while variable cloud cover and potential light showers overnight can alter the rate of radiative cooling; clearer periods promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima, whereas increased humidity or lingering cloud reduces that cooling. Model spreads arise from differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact frontal timing, and resolution of local urban effects around official stations. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, so the current 50.5% on 7°C or below versus elevated odds on 9–14°C bins capture the realistic envelope of possible station readings rather than a strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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