Recent forecast models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or light rain affecting São Paulo around September 2, 2026, suppressing daytime highs below the early-September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Multiple global and regional outputs converge on maximum temperatures near 19–20°C, with some showing 14–17°C under stronger onshore flow or precipitation, while others allow brief clearing to the low 20s. This spread, combined with typical model uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes and the lower implied probabilities for both warmer and cooler extremes. Updated model runs and official INMET observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
16%
20°C
29%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
$106 Vol.
1%
15°C
$59 Vol.
1%
16°C
$80 Vol.
2%
17°C
$91 Vol.
2%
18°C
$109 Vol.
7%
19°C
$178 Vol.
16%
20°C
$605 Vol.
29%
21°C
$249 Vol.
32%
22°C
$318 Vol.
16%
23°C
$83 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$139 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or light rain affecting São Paulo around September 2, 2026, suppressing daytime highs below the early-September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Multiple global and regional outputs converge on maximum temperatures near 19–20°C, with some showing 14–17°C under stronger onshore flow or precipitation, while others allow brief clearing to the low 20s. This spread, combined with typical model uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes and the lower implied probabilities for both warmer and cooler extremes. Updated model runs and official INMET observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,016Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or light rain affecting São Paulo around September 2, 2026, suppressing daytime highs below the early-September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Multiple global and regional outputs converge on maximum temperatures near 19–20°C, with some showing 14–17°C under stronger onshore flow or precipitation, while others allow brief clearing to the low 20s. This spread, combined with typical model uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes and the lower implied probabilities for both warmer and cooler extremes. Updated model runs and official INMET observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,016Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or light rain affecting São Paulo around September 2, 2026, suppressing daytime highs below the early-September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Multiple global and regional outputs converge on maximum temperatures near 19–20°C, with some showing 14–17°C under stronger onshore flow or precipitation, while others allow brief clearing to the low 20s. This spread, combined with typical model uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes and the lower implied probabilities for both warmer and cooler extremes. Updated model runs and official INMET observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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