Recent strengthening El Niño conditions favor below-average Northeast precipitation through enhanced upper-level wind shear and altered steering patterns that limit tropical moisture transport into the region. NOAA and other outlooks issued in late August 2026 indicate a tilt toward drier-than-normal September totals across much of the Northeast, consistent with historical composites from prior strong El Niño events that show suppressed rainfall along the East Coast. Central Park normals stand at 4.31 inches, yet high interannual variability—driven by the timing of frontal passages, nor’easters, or any late-season tropical remnants—keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 3–6 inch range. Model spread in precipitation forecasts and the uncertain evolution of the current El Niño add further uncertainty to exact monthly accumulation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
>6" 22%
3-4" 22%
2-3" 18%
4-5" 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
9%
2-3"
18%
3-4"
22%
4-5"
18%
5-6"
14%
>6"
22%
>6" 22%
3-4" 22%
2-3" 18%
4-5" 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$426 Vol.
9%
2-3"
$0 Vol.
18%
3-4"
$50 Vol.
22%
4-5"
$0 Vol.
18%
5-6"
$10 Vol.
14%
>6"
$45 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent strengthening El Niño conditions favor below-average Northeast precipitation through enhanced upper-level wind shear and altered steering patterns that limit tropical moisture transport into the region. NOAA and other outlooks issued in late August 2026 indicate a tilt toward drier-than-normal September totals across much of the Northeast, consistent with historical composites from prior strong El Niño events that show suppressed rainfall along the East Coast. Central Park normals stand at 4.31 inches, yet high interannual variability—driven by the timing of frontal passages, nor’easters, or any late-season tropical remnants—keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 3–6 inch range. Model spread in precipitation forecasts and the uncertain evolution of the current El Niño add further uncertainty to exact monthly accumulation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$531Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent strengthening El Niño conditions favor below-average Northeast precipitation through enhanced upper-level wind shear and altered steering patterns that limit tropical moisture transport into the region. NOAA and other outlooks issued in late August 2026 indicate a tilt toward drier-than-normal September totals across much of the Northeast, consistent with historical composites from prior strong El Niño events that show suppressed rainfall along the East Coast. Central Park normals stand at 4.31 inches, yet high interannual variability—driven by the timing of frontal passages, nor’easters, or any late-season tropical remnants—keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 3–6 inch range. Model spread in precipitation forecasts and the uncertain evolution of the current El Niño add further uncertainty to exact monthly accumulation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$531Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strengthening El Niño conditions favor below-average Northeast precipitation through enhanced upper-level wind shear and altered steering patterns that limit tropical moisture transport into the region. NOAA and other outlooks issued in late August 2026 indicate a tilt toward drier-than-normal September totals across much of the Northeast, consistent with historical composites from prior strong El Niño events that show suppressed rainfall along the East Coast. Central Park normals stand at 4.31 inches, yet high interannual variability—driven by the timing of frontal passages, nor’easters, or any late-season tropical remnants—keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the 3–6 inch range. Model spread in precipitation forecasts and the uncertain evolution of the current El Niño add further uncertainty to exact monthly accumulation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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