**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 around 8–9°C, driven by a cold front that crossed the region on September 2–3.** Southwest winds behind the front are advecting cooler, drier air, with clearing skies expected to promote nighttime radiative cooling under light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes clustered near 6–9°C (each ~24–25% implied probability), as well as the elevated chance assigned to 5°C or below. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 9°C, so the current setup represents typical post-frontal cooling rather than an extreme event. Model consensus across sources points to a low near 8°C, with limited downside risk unless winds remain exceptionally calm; upside risk (15°C+) appears lower given the established cool air mass. Traders appear to be weighting the most likely range while assigning meaningful probability to colder tails, consistent with uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates two days out. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
5°C or below 99%
15°C or higher 59%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
99%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
3%
11°C
17%
12°C
13%
13°C
33%
14°C
36%
15°C or higher
59%
5°C or below 99%
15°C or higher 59%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
6°C
$0 Vol.
49%
7°C
$0 Vol.
49%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$203 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 around 8–9°C, driven by a cold front that crossed the region on September 2–3.**
Southwest winds behind the front are advecting cooler, drier air, with clearing skies expected to promote nighttime radiative cooling under light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes clustered near 6–9°C (each ~24–25% implied probability), as well as the elevated chance assigned to 5°C or below. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 9°C, so the current setup represents typical post-frontal cooling rather than an extreme event.
Model consensus across sources points to a low near 8°C, with limited downside risk unless winds remain exceptionally calm; upside risk (15°C+) appears lower given the established cool air mass. Traders appear to be weighting the most likely range while assigning meaningful probability to colder tails, consistent with uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates two days out. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 around 8–9°C, driven by a cold front that crossed the region on September 2–3.**
Southwest winds behind the front are advecting cooler, drier air, with clearing skies expected to promote nighttime radiative cooling under light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes clustered near 6–9°C (each ~24–25% implied probability), as well as the elevated chance assigned to 5°C or below. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 9°C, so the current setup represents typical post-frontal cooling rather than an extreme event.
Model consensus across sources points to a low near 8°C, with limited downside risk unless winds remain exceptionally calm; upside risk (15°C+) appears lower given the established cool air mass. Traders appear to be weighting the most likely range while assigning meaningful probability to colder tails, consistent with uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates two days out. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 around 8–9°C, driven by a cold front that crossed the region on September 2–3.** Southwest winds behind the front are advecting cooler, drier air, with clearing skies expected to promote nighttime radiative cooling under light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes clustered near 6–9°C (each ~24–25% implied probability), as well as the elevated chance assigned to 5°C or below. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 9°C, so the current setup represents typical post-frontal cooling rather than an extreme event. Model consensus across sources points to a low near 8°C, with limited downside risk unless winds remain exceptionally calm; upside risk (15°C+) appears lower given the established cool air mass. Traders appear to be weighting the most likely range while assigning meaningful probability to colder tails, consistent with uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates two days out. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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