Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 5 high between 26–31°C under southwest winds and moderate continental airflow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 30°C and 31°C because afternoon insolation and humidity levels remain uncertain; brief clearing could allow temperatures to reach 31°C while persistent low clouds or showers would cap readings at 30°C. Regional model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, keeping resolution sensitive to the next update cycle. Historical September maxima near 30°C provide context for the close market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$415 Vol.
2%
29°C
$526 Vol.
7%
30°C
$714 Vol.
33%
31°C
$1,600 Vol.
40%
32°C
$1,276 Vol.
19%
33°C
$499 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 5 high between 26–31°C under southwest winds and moderate continental airflow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 30°C and 31°C because afternoon insolation and humidity levels remain uncertain; brief clearing could allow temperatures to reach 31°C while persistent low clouds or showers would cap readings at 30°C. Regional model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, keeping resolution sensitive to the next update cycle. Historical September maxima near 30°C provide context for the close market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,178Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 5 high between 26–31°C under southwest winds and moderate continental airflow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 30°C and 31°C because afternoon insolation and humidity levels remain uncertain; brief clearing could allow temperatures to reach 31°C while persistent low clouds or showers would cap readings at 30°C. Regional model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, keeping resolution sensitive to the next update cycle. Historical September maxima near 30°C provide context for the close market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,178Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 5 high between 26–31°C under southwest winds and moderate continental airflow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 30°C and 31°C because afternoon insolation and humidity levels remain uncertain; brief clearing could allow temperatures to reach 31°C while persistent low clouds or showers would cap readings at 30°C. Regional model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, keeping resolution sensitive to the next update cycle. Historical September maxima near 30°C provide context for the close market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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