Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
18°C 64%
17°C 29%
19°C 6%
16°C 3%
BAGO
$19,375 Vol.
BAGO
$19,375 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
29%
18°C
64%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 64%
17°C 29%
19°C 6%
16°C 3%
BAGO
$19,375 Vol.
BAGO
$19,375 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$399 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,838 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,759 Vol.
3%
17°C
$2,572 Vol.
29%
18°C
$6,944 Vol.
64%
19°C
$2,299 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,375Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,375Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong