Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 29–32°C in Istanbul on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader weighting toward 28–30°C (combined ~74%) aligns with the central tendency of these outputs and accounts for typical model spread in peak daytime temperature, while lower probabilities for 31–32°C capture upside scenarios from stronger solar heating or calmer conditions. Historical September mean highs near 26°C provide context for the current warm anomaly, though no major synoptic shifts are indicated in the next 48 hours that would sharply alter the outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
30°C 35%
32°C 29%
29°C 29%
31°C 23%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
19%
29°C
29%
30°C
35%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
32°C 29%
29°C 29%
31°C 23%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
19%
29°C
29%
30°C
35%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 29–32°C in Istanbul on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader weighting toward 28–30°C (combined ~74%) aligns with the central tendency of these outputs and accounts for typical model spread in peak daytime temperature, while lower probabilities for 31–32°C capture upside scenarios from stronger solar heating or calmer conditions. Historical September mean highs near 26°C provide context for the current warm anomaly, though no major synoptic shifts are indicated in the next 48 hours that would sharply alter the outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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