Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (53.5%) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 18.7°C for the date. Model runs show limited spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of outcomes supported by current observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
21°C 54%
22°C 28%
20°C 15%
19°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
54%
22°C
28%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 54%
22°C 28%
20°C 15%
19°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
$41 Vol.
1%
17°C
$40 Vol.
1%
18°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$197 Vol.
3%
20°C
$135 Vol.
15%
21°C
$580 Vol.
54%
22°C
$95 Vol.
28%
23°C
$340 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (53.5%) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 18.7°C for the date. Model runs show limited spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of outcomes supported by current observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (53.5%) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 18.7°C for the date. Model runs show limited spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of outcomes supported by current observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (53.5%) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 18.7°C for the date. Model runs show limited spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of outcomes supported by current observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong