Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes. Subtropical humidity and partly cloudy skies will moderate nighttime radiative cooling, limiting the drop from daytime highs near 32°C, while light northeasterly flow and residual monsoon moisture add slight variability. Historical September lows average 24°C, providing a baseline that current stable conditions have not yet deviated from significantly. Model runs show minor spread due to differences in cloud cover and urban heat retention, keeping probabilities balanced rather than concentrated on one value. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term input for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
22°C 31%
25°C 30%
26°C 29%
24°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
31%
23°C
14%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
29%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 31%
25°C 30%
26°C 29%
24°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes. Subtropical humidity and partly cloudy skies will moderate nighttime radiative cooling, limiting the drop from daytime highs near 32°C, while light northeasterly flow and residual monsoon moisture add slight variability. Historical September lows average 24°C, providing a baseline that current stable conditions have not yet deviated from significantly. Model runs show minor spread due to differences in cloud cover and urban heat retention, keeping probabilities balanced rather than concentrated on one value. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes. Subtropical humidity and partly cloudy skies will moderate nighttime radiative cooling, limiting the drop from daytime highs near 32°C, while light northeasterly flow and residual monsoon moisture add slight variability. Historical September lows average 24°C, providing a baseline that current stable conditions have not yet deviated from significantly. Model runs show minor spread due to differences in cloud cover and urban heat retention, keeping probabilities balanced rather than concentrated on one value. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Shenzhen on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes. Subtropical humidity and partly cloudy skies will moderate nighttime radiative cooling, limiting the drop from daytime highs near 32°C, while light northeasterly flow and residual monsoon moisture add slight variability. Historical September lows average 24°C, providing a baseline that current stable conditions have not yet deviated from significantly. Model runs show minor spread due to differences in cloud cover and urban heat retention, keeping probabilities balanced rather than concentrated on one value. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term input for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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