Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's September 10 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creating the tight market split between outcomes above 29°C and 19°C or below. Convective rainfall can produce localized cooling through evaporative effects and reduced nighttime radiative warming, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to hold closer to seasonal norms near 25°C. Subtropical moisture influx and weak steering flows heighten uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies showing limited model consensus on exact overnight lows. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against typical September baselines, where daily minima average around 24–26°C absent strong frontal passages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
29°C or higher 83%
19°C or below 81%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
21%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
83%
29°C or higher 83%
19°C or below 81%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
21%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's September 10 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creating the tight market split between outcomes above 29°C and 19°C or below. Convective rainfall can produce localized cooling through evaporative effects and reduced nighttime radiative warming, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to hold closer to seasonal norms near 25°C. Subtropical moisture influx and weak steering flows heighten uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies showing limited model consensus on exact overnight lows. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against typical September baselines, where daily minima average around 24–26°C absent strong frontal passages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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