Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
27°C 72%
28°C 23%
26°C 6%
29°C <1%
$36,651 Vol.
$36,651 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
72%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
28°C 23%
26°C 6%
29°C <1%
$36,651 Vol.
$36,651 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,456 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,022 Vol.
6%
27°C
$7,860 Vol.
72%
28°C
$7,087 Vol.
23%
29°C
$3,846 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3,533 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,651Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,651Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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