Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, point to a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high pressure, light variable winds shifting from northeast to southwest, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average daily high is approximately 27.8°C, and supports the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–29°C. Short-range forecasts show minimal day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection signals that would shift the outcome outside this narrow range, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing or cloud cover could still produce a 1°C difference. Official maximum temperature observations from Madrid’s primary station will resolve the market once the day concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
28°C 56%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
56%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 56%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
56%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, point to a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high pressure, light variable winds shifting from northeast to southwest, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average daily high is approximately 27.8°C, and supports the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–29°C. Short-range forecasts show minimal day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection signals that would shift the outcome outside this narrow range, though minor model spread in afternoon mixing or cloud cover could still produce a 1°C difference. Official maximum temperature observations from Madrid’s primary station will resolve the market once the day concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong