Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds as the main factors pinning Hong Kong's minimum temperature near 26–27 °C on September 14. High humidity (70–90 %) and scattered showers limit heat loss, while urban heat-island effects and station siting introduce small local differences. Ensemble spreads show some runs dipping to 24–25 °C if clearer skies develop after midnight, but most keep the low at or above 26 °C given persistent moisture. Traders therefore price 26 °C and 27 °C nearly equally, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing and the exact measurement at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated model runs and overnight observations will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 34%
23°C 2.0%
BAGO
$10,805 Vol.
BAGO
$10,805 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
28%
26°C
41%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 34%
23°C 2.0%
BAGO
$10,805 Vol.
BAGO
$10,805 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$670 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,275 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,312 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,797 Vol.
41%
27°C
$3,182 Vol.
26%
28°C
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds as the main factors pinning Hong Kong's minimum temperature near 26–27 °C on September 14. High humidity (70–90 %) and scattered showers limit heat loss, while urban heat-island effects and station siting introduce small local differences. Ensemble spreads show some runs dipping to 24–25 °C if clearer skies develop after midnight, but most keep the low at or above 26 °C given persistent moisture. Traders therefore price 26 °C and 27 °C nearly equally, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing and the exact measurement at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated model runs and overnight observations will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,805Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds as the main factors pinning Hong Kong's minimum temperature near 26–27 °C on September 14. High humidity (70–90 %) and scattered showers limit heat loss, while urban heat-island effects and station siting introduce small local differences. Ensemble spreads show some runs dipping to 24–25 °C if clearer skies develop after midnight, but most keep the low at or above 26 °C given persistent moisture. Traders therefore price 26 °C and 27 °C nearly equally, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing and the exact measurement at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated model runs and overnight observations will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,805Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds as the main factors pinning Hong Kong's minimum temperature near 26–27 °C on September 14. High humidity (70–90 %) and scattered showers limit heat loss, while urban heat-island effects and station siting introduce small local differences. Ensemble spreads show some runs dipping to 24–25 °C if clearer skies develop after midnight, but most keep the low at or above 26 °C given persistent moisture. Traders therefore price 26 °C and 27 °C nearly equally, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing and the exact measurement at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated model runs and overnight observations will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong