Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture over the Marmara region for September 15, 2026, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher bins nearly tied. A transient trough may advect cooler maritime air while clear skies under high pressure could allow stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, versus a warmer southeasterly flow that suppresses the daily minimum. Historical mid-September climatology for Istanbul centers near 18–20 °C, underscoring the current forecast divergence. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for resolution signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
24°C or higher 77%
14°C or below 42%
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
42%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
2%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
77%
24°C or higher 77%
14°C or below 42%
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$50 Vol.
21%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$10 Vol.
18%
23°C
$10 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture over the Marmara region for September 15, 2026, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher bins nearly tied. A transient trough may advect cooler maritime air while clear skies under high pressure could allow stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, versus a warmer southeasterly flow that suppresses the daily minimum. Historical mid-September climatology for Istanbul centers near 18–20 °C, underscoring the current forecast divergence. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$90Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture over the Marmara region for September 15, 2026, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher bins nearly tied. A transient trough may advect cooler maritime air while clear skies under high pressure could allow stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, versus a warmer southeasterly flow that suppresses the daily minimum. Historical mid-September climatology for Istanbul centers near 18–20 °C, underscoring the current forecast divergence. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture over the Marmara region for September 15, 2026, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher bins nearly tied. A transient trough may advect cooler maritime air while clear skies under high pressure could allow stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, versus a warmer southeasterly flow that suppresses the daily minimum. Historical mid-September climatology for Istanbul centers near 18–20 °C, underscoring the current forecast divergence. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for resolution signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong