Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C on September 14, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 70–80%. Light northeasterly winds and a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge further suppress stronger warming, consistent with recent days of convective activity. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects minor ensemble disagreements on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the upper end of that range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
8%
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C on September 14, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating while maintaining high humidity near 70–80%. Light northeasterly winds and a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge further suppress stronger warming, consistent with recent days of convective activity. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects minor ensemble disagreements on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the upper end of that range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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